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2018 Predictions


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On 5/25/2018 at 6:09 PM, Ediker said:

The one thing that's been consistent is how much placements change, year over year.  What's that saying for mutual funds?  "Past performance is no guarantee of future gains."  Totally applies here too.

BD has been top 2 for 11 years running but, yeah, that can change.  

I haven't updated it for a few years, but what I found when comparing year-to-year is how little placements have changed in recent years compared to DCI's first decades.

See chart here and list here.

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Ok I’ll play 

1. BD

2. BAC

3. Bloo

4. SCV

5. Crown 

6. Cavies

7. BK

8. Cadets 

9. PR

10. Blue Star

11. Academy 

12. Madison 

Brass: BD

Percussion: BAC

Guard: BAC

Visual: BD

GE: BD

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I'll just do World Class. As far as Open it's pretty safe to assume BDB and SCVC will be the top two and end up in the 15-20 range at World Class championships.

1. Blue Devils
2. Carolina Crown
3. Santa Clara Vanguard
4. The Cavaliers
5. Boston Crusaders
6. Bluecoats
7. The Cadets
8. Phantom Regiment
9. Blue Knights
10. Crossmen
11. Blue Stars
12. Mandarins

13. Madison Scouts
14. Colts
15. The Academy
16. Troopers
17. Oregon Crusaders
18. Pacific Crest
19. Genesis
20. Spirit of Atlanta
21. Music City
22. Cascades
23. Jersey Surf
24. Pioneer

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On 5/30/2018 at 9:07 PM, Jim Schehr said:

Ok I’ll play 

1. BD

2. BAC

3. Bloo

4. SCV

5. Crown 

6. Cavies

7. BK

8. Cadets 

9. PR

10. Blue Star

11. Academy 

12. Madison 

Brass: BD

Percussion: BAC

Guard: BAC

Visual: BD

GE: BD

I applaud your bold predictions.  If I did predictions, which i don’t, I’d flip a couple of placements but nothing drastic. 

I know there’s a part of you that wants BDB to make finals. 

Edited by Terri Schehr
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  1. Vanguard
  2. Boston
  3. Crown
  4. Blue Devils
  5. Bluecoats
  6. Cavaliers
  7. Blue Knights
  8. Blue Stars
  9. Cadets
  10. Mandarins
  11. Academy
  12. Regiment
  13. Crossmen
  14. Madison
  15. Troopers
  16. SCV Cadets
  17. Colts
  18. Genesis
  19. Spirit
  20. BDB
  21. Legends
  22. Pacific Crest
  23. Oregon Crusaders
  24. Music City
  25. Louisiana Stars

 

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11 hours ago, N.E. Brigand said:

I haven't updated it for a few years, but what I found when comparing year-to-year is how little placements have changed in recent years compared to DCI's first decades.

See chart here and list here.

Don't you love looking at charts?  

Below is a chart I made of the current Top 12's placements for the past 15 years.  While the average movement might be a spot or two, there are some pretty dramatic moves for individual corps.  Boston made a significant jump in 2017, but there have been others (Blue Stars 2008, Madison 2010, Crossmen 2012, Cadets 2011)... not to mention some of the big drops.  It's true that many of the current Top 12 were in the mix 15 years ago, so not much movement in that regard.

 

Q7N6BG0.png

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Mine, for May 31.

1. Blue Devils-Brass (tie)/GE/Guard/Visual

2. Boston-

3. Crown-Brass (tie)

4. Cavaliers

5. SCV-Percussion

6. Bluecoats

7. Cadets

8. Blue Knights

9. Madison Scouts

10. Phantom

11. Crossmen

12. Mandarins

 

13. Colts

14. Blue Stars

15. Academy

16. Troopers

17. SCVC

18. Spirit

19. BDB

20. Oregon Crusaders

21. Pacific Crest

 

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The top half of Finals will contain the same exact corps as last year (BD, Bluecoats, Boston, Cavaliers, Crown, SCV), but where they place will depend almost exclusively on show design. I'm not going to say any more about these corps other than it will be hard to picture BD anywhere other than in the top 2 (but it could very well happen).

Other placements beyond 6th that I feel more solidly about:

7. The Cadets

8. Phantom Regiment

9. Blue Stars

10. Blue Knights

11. Madison Scouts

12. Crossmen

---

13. The Academy

14. Mandarins

15. Colts

16. Troopers

17. Blue Devils B (Open Class Champion)

I have no idea what to expect after 17th. There are a lot of corps in that 18th-26th bunch that are aiming for breakout seasons.

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