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2018 Predictions


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  1. Devils, Have a slightly better than good chance to win. If this was a Threepeat year I'd put them in 2nd or 3rd.
  2. SCV, Has a good chance to win. Awesome show last year but, that was last year. Added drill writing god to their staff. Should be good!
  3. Crown, Has a good chance to win. now the percussion situation  fixed. Always great brass, Excellent colorguard, and show design god. puts them up there.
  4. Bluecoats, Have a good chance to win.  Can't wait to see what their brilliant design teem come up with this year. Saw It!  BLUECOATS ARE FIYAH!
  5. Cavaliers, Has been steadily improving I see them as the 5th C in the Carolina,Concord,Canton,Clara crowd
  6. Boston, Should be better but, How much better? Top 3 better?
  7.  Cadets,  After the recent scandal and change of schedule and show restructuring, I have no clue. I'm sure the staff and Alumni will motivate the kids to be their best. Their staff is good enough to pull off something in the top 6. How will the judges react?
  8. Bk, Very entertaining shows lately. Can they top 5 in captions?
  9. Phantom, has always been a wait and see corps for me. they can land anywhere 5-10.
  10. Blue Stars,are where BK used to be a couple years ago , floating between 8 -11
  11. Madison,  IMO had the ugliest show  in drum corps last year but, it got them back into the finals.
  12. Crossmen, I thought Xmen were better than their scores showed all last year 
  13. Mandarin, I thought Mandarin should have made finals over Madison ( no hate for Madison )
  14. Academy, I always root for Academy to make finals
  15. Colts, I always root for Academy to make finals   

  If someone put a gun to my head:

1-4 I'm ducking bulletes

5.-7 Cadets, Cavies,  Crusaders- in no particular order

8.   Blue Knights

9. Phantom

10.Blue Stars

11.Crossmen

12.Mandarin

13.Madison

14. Academy

15. Colts         

*I wrote my predictions on the first Prediction Thread  back in March   

 

                                                                                               

Edited by boxingfred
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On 5/30/2018 at 9:07 PM, Jim Schehr said:

Ok I’ll play 

1. BD

2. BAC

3. Bloo

4. SCV

5. Crown 

6. Cavies

7. BK

8. Cadets 

9. PR

10. Blue Star

11. Academy 

12. Madison 

Brass: BD

Percussion: BAC

Guard: BAC

Visual: BD

GE: BD

Ya know what?  I like The Academy, too.  They get picked clean and keep on plugging.  Go The Academy! 

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OK I Will Bite.

1. Blue Devils   - Year in year out the best. I like the show concept. 

2.Crown   - Excellent show last year .My favorite. Great brass .Great design.

3. Bluecoats  - Bounce back. not sure of show yet. 

4. SCV   -  The west coast machine continues.

5.Cavaliers   - Not sure of Design but they have been on the move. Could move up 

6. Boston   -  Getting older members . good design .Will be very  hard to move up .

7. Blue Knights   - Solid corps last few seasons 

8. Cadets  -  Could be under Crossmen . could be over Boston  Wildcard. 

9. Crossmen  - Great show last year better than placement . Could move up 

10. Phantom  - Hopefully fix the brass. New designers. 

11. Blue Stars  -  Not sold on The Carpenters music. Solid Corps.

12. Madison  - Will be hard to knock them out of top 12. 

------

 

 

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This will almost certainly be wrong.

1. Blue Devils

2. Carolina Crown

3. Cavaliers

4. Santa Clara Vanguard

5. Boston

6. Bluecoats

7. Cadets

8. Phantom 

9. Blue Knights

10. Blue Stars

11. Crossmen

12. Madison 

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So many bold choices! I think corps are keeping to themselves a bit more than usual this season, which makes this thread so unpredictable. 

I'm digging the hype! 

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On 5/30/2018 at 10:11 AM, OldSchoolCorps said:

As we get closer to Tour Premier, this is my “not so official” official picks:

1) Blue Devils

1) Crown

3) Bluecoats

4) SCV

5) Cavies

6) Phantom

7) Cadets

8) Boston

9) Blue Knights

10) Blue Stars

11) Colts 

12) Crossmen

OK, don’t rake me over the coals just yet!!! LOL!!! I do believe there will be a tie at the top, simply because it’s been a while since we’ve seen one! I do think this year is LOADED! Should be fun! I was able to hear the Colts show in Dubuque at the end of their Memorial Day Parade, and let’s just say THIS AIN’T YOUR MAMA’S COLTS!!! WOW!!!! Drum Corps fans will LOVE this years production!!!!

I've heard that line for years. "This ain't your mama's colts"... but I'm ok with my mamas colts... personally, I think they've been somewhat cheated since 2014.

Sadly, I think it's harder for Colts and Troop than it has been for Academy or Mandarins... the community is just so use to a "so close yet again" mentality.

I really hope your opinion on their book and talent are accurate!

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On 5/31/2018 at 7:23 PM, Ediker said:

Awesome!  Yeah, this is a similar one I made for the original prediction thread... reposting here.  It shows, for any given placement, what the previous year's placement was.  For example, for 1st place, the lowest previous year placement was 5th... and the most frequent, 2nd (due mostly to BD).  

There is a clear drop off below 5th place. For example, 6th place is more likely to come from below than from the top 5.  Enjoy!

ZdgTc3i.png

I didn't realize I was just doing something similar to this... But I only used 2010-2017's previous year placement data to make predictions based on that. It lends interesting results towards the top, and sort of tame predictions in the 7-12 placings. Here's the placements those 8 years came up with on average:

  1. Santa Clara Vanguard
  2. Blue Devils
  3. Bluecoats
  4. The Cavaliers
  5. Carolina Crown
  6. Boston Crusaders
  7. The Cadets
  8. Phantom Regiment
  9. Blue Knights
  10. Blue Stars
  11. Likely Crossmen (5x 11th place was in finals the previous year)
  12. Likely Madison (5x 12th place was in finals the previous year)

Other corps that made appearances in finals with this trend analysis:

Colts 2x, Troopers 2x, SCVC 1x, Academy 1x, Mandarins 1x

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getting reports of various media from around the horn...the top 7...holy ####

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