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Allentown Differences Needed to Move Up for Prelims


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Santa Clara Vanguard: 0.000

Blue Devils: +1.775

Bluecoats: +0.775

Carolina Crown: +1.838

The Cavaliers: +3.275

Boston Crusaders: +0.138

The Cadets: +4.900

Blue Stars: +3.063

Blue Knights: +0.138

Phantom Regiment: +1.750

Mandarins: +1.650

Crossmen: +2.113

Spirit of Atlanta: +3.263

The Academy: +0.125

Colts: +3.075

Madison Scouts: 1.625

Troopers: +2.363

Pacific Crest: +5.663

Music City: +4.275

Oregon Crusaders: +1.613

Genesis: +3.538

Seattle Cascades: +5.100

Jersey Surf: +1.425

Pioneer: +9.200

Edited by FaustianMachine
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Could you share your methodology?  All the gory details for us stats geeks?

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Sure thing!

For the higher placed group, I took the sum of the scores from San Antonio and Atlanta and added 100 to them to represent a perfect score at Allentown. Then I divided that by 3. Once I had that number, I did that for the group directly below them, except I added to the last score until my average came out to be the same as the first average.

Vanguard: (92.325+93.675+100)/3 = 95.333

BD: (90.975+93.250+101.775)/3 = 95.333

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This is very interesting and thanks for the info. I guess we can say it will be a lot easier for most corps' to better their placement from Thurs. to Fri. next week than it will be from now to next Thurs.

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23 minutes ago, FaustianMachine said:

Sure thing!

For the higher placed group, I took the sum of the scores from San Antonio and Atlanta and added 100 to them to represent a perfect score at Allentown. Then I divided that by 3. Once I had that number, I did that for the group directly below them, except I added to the last score until my average came out to be the same as the first average.

Vanguard: (92.325+93.675+100)/3 = 95.333

BD: (90.975+93.250+101.775)/3 = 95.333

Very clever - impressed! So good luck to BAC, BK and The Academy!

Edited by Freanz
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32 minutes ago, FaustianMachine said:

Sure thing!

For the higher placed group, I took the sum of the scores from San Antonio and Atlanta and added 100 to them to represent a perfect score at Allentown. Then I divided that by 3. Once I had that number, I did that for the group directly below them, except I added to the last score until my average came out to be the same as the first average.

Vanguard: (92.325+93.675+100)/3 = 95.333

BD: (90.975+93.250+101.775)/3 = 95.333

I looked at something similar, but then tried to do an Allentown trend/"prediction", but that got a bit complicated.

I think I like your way better.

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Go Mandarins! Get that 1.65 and then some!  And BAC, too, you got this!

 

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1 minute ago, PopcornEater1963 said:

This assumes the corps directly above any corps in question remains static? For instance...with BAC only 0.1 behind Cavaliers...that assumes that Cavaliers make no gain in the same time frame, right? 

Correct; or another way to look at it is that Boston has to score 0.108 points above the score of The Cavaliers to overtake them. If The Cavaliers tie or score higher than Boston, there is no way for them to be overtaken in the Prelims rankings.

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2 minutes ago, FaustianMachine said:

Correct; or another way to look at it is that Boston has to score 0.108 points above the score of The Cavaliers to overtake them. If The Cavaliers tie or score higher than Boston, there is no way for them to be overtaken in the Prelims rankings.

Thanks...they are scoring right next to each other...ought to be interesting! 

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