hostrauser Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 It's that time of year again. First off, the usual start-of-season spiel/disclaimer... My rankings are designed to look more at trends than fluke performances. A corps dropping three spots at one show might be a fluke performance. A corps dropping three spots in my rankings (considering all their shows that week) probably isn't. These rankings are compiled based on what each corps did score or would have scored on every day of the preceding week (Monday through Sunday). THIS IS NOT A STRAIGHT SCORE COMPARISON. Go to the Blue Knights' page if you want that. THIS IS NOT BASED SOLELY ON EACH CORPS' MOST RECENT SCORE. Just because a corps had the highest score in all of DCI on Saturday does not necessarily mean they will be at the top of the rankings (particularly if they scored lower earlier in the week). SHOW SCORES FROM A PARTICULAR DAY CAN BE ADJUSTED. Judging inflation is taken into account, if the numbers bear it out (see also: the infamous "west coast bump" (2012: Hahahahaha!)). For example, Corps A at show X on Friday outscores both Corps B and Corps C (who were at show Y on Friday) by more than a point. However, on Saturday when they all perform together at show Z, Corps B is 1.0 ahead of Corps A and Corps C is only 0.1 behind. Chances are show X's scores were either too high or show Y's scores were too low, and the scores might be adjusted for ALL corps at either show. The formula is based on seven-days worth of performances. On days when a corps does not perform, they will receive a "ghost score" based on what the other corps they had been in direct competition with most recently scored. All scores are weighted. Real scores are weighted 100%, ghost scores are weighted at 50%. The two days each week with the most corps performances (Thr-Sun) are weighted 200%. "Super-regionals" like San Antonio and Allentown are weighted 300%. These rankings are NOT a prediction of future performance, nor are they representative of a corps' entire season of work. They are stand-alone rankings based upon the most recent week; so programming changes in shows during the course of the season can lead to "hot" and "cold" streaks in the rankings. Without further ado... HOSTRAUSER'S DCI RANKINGS - WEEK 1 (6/18 - 6/24) WORLD CLASS 74.90 Carolina Crown 73.70 The Cadets 73.35 Blue Devils 72.55 Phantom Regiment 71.55 Bluecoats 69.75 The Cavaliers 69.35 Santa Clara Vanguard 69.00 Madison Scouts 68.05 Boston Crusaders 67.90 Spirit of Atlanta 65.70 Blue Stars 63.65 Blue Knights ------------------------------------ 63.10 Glassmen 62.25 Troopers 62.15 Crossmen 57.30 The Academy 57.05 Pacific Crest 54.50 Mandarins 51.20 Pioneer N/A Cascades N/A Colts N/A Jersey Surf N/A Teal Sound 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HLDmello28 Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 wow. That sounds really complicated to do, but it's cool that you did it! (and thanks for the disclaimer for new people like me). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MotorCityMusician Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 someone has to do it those arent the right scores 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LaSqueegee Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 Are you a CPA? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris ncsu Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 I wonder if you have this for the first weeks of previous years? Would be fun to see them vs. finals. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hostrauser Posted June 25, 2012 Author Share Posted June 25, 2012 (edited) Are you a CPA? No, but I am in finance and I work with numbers all day, every day. I'm actually a project controller for the commercial services branch of a major defense contractor (i.e., I don't work on government contracts like 75% of the rest of the company). I wonder if you have this for the first weeks of previous years? Would be fun to see them vs. finals. I don't save the weekly versions of the rankings spreadsheet, I just delete and over-write with each new week. However, if you do a forum search for "Hostrauser's Rankings" you will get plenty of results here on DCP. For 2011, this is what it looked like. HOSTRAUSER's (2011) DCI rankings - WEEK 1 (6/20 - 6/26) 77.10 The Cavaliers (actual finish: 3rd) 75.40 The Cadets (1st) 74.80 Blue Devils (2nd) 74.25 Carolina Crown (4th) 72.65 Bluecoats (7th) 72.10 Phantom Regiment (5th) 71.55 Madison Scouts (10th) 71.30 Santa Clara Vanguard (6th) 70.55 Blue Stars (11th) 68.55 Boston Crusaders (8th) 67.50 Blue Knights (9th) 66.30 Glassmen (13th) ------------------------------- 66.00 Spirit of Atlanta (12th) 65.35 Troopers (14th) 64.25 The Academy (15th) 62.95 Crossmen (17th) 61.90 Mandarins (21st) 60.85 Pacific Crest (18th) 60.15 Teal Sound (20th) 54.45 Jersey Surf (25th) 53.55 Pioneer (27th) --.-- Cascades (24th) --.-- Colts (16th) So, my first rankings in 2011 correctly had 11 of 12 Finalist corps in the Top 12, the Top 3 correctly chosen (but in wrong order), 11 corps within one placement of their final standing, and four corps exactly placed where they would end up. (edit: if you're REALLY curious, the Sound Machine forums have my rankings all the way back to 2003) Edited June 25, 2012 by hostrauser Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
emc2 Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 No, but I am in finance and I work with numbers all day, every day. I'm actually a project controller for the commercial services branch of a major defense contractor (i.e., I don't work on government contracts like 75% of the rest of the company). I don't save the weekly versions of the rankings spreadsheet, I just delete and over-write with each new week. However, if you do a forum search for "Hostrauser's Rankings" you will get plenty of results here on DCP. For 2011, this is what it looked like. HOSTRAUSER's (2011) DCI rankings - WEEK 1 (6/20 - 6/26) 77.10 The Cavaliers (actual finish: 3rd) 75.40 The Cadets (1st) 74.80 Blue Devils (2nd) 74.25 Carolina Crown (4th) 72.65 Bluecoats (7th) 72.10 Phantom Regiment (5th) 71.55 Madison Scouts (10th) 71.30 Santa Clara Vanguard (6th) 70.55 Blue Stars (11th) 68.55 Boston Crusaders (8th) 67.50 Blue Knights (9th) 66.30 Glassmen (13th) ------------------------------- 66.00 Spirit of Atlanta (12th) 65.35 Troopers (14th) 64.25 The Academy (15th) 62.95 Crossmen (17th) 61.90 Mandarins (21st) 60.85 Pacific Crest (18th) 60.15 Teal Sound (20th) 54.45 Jersey Surf (25th) 53.55 Pioneer (27th) --.-- Cascades (24th) --.-- Colts (16th) So, my first rankings in 2011 correctly had 11 of 12 Finalist corps in the Top 12, the Top 3 correctly chosen (but in wrong order), 11 corps within one placement of their final standing, and four corps exactly placed where they would end up. Start with scores from everyones 1st show as base. Then move from there. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hostrauser Posted June 25, 2012 Author Share Posted June 25, 2012 Start with scores from everyones 1st show as base. Then move from there. No. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CQuinn Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 I really don't see the value but enjoy! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
chris ncsu Posted June 25, 2012 Share Posted June 25, 2012 I really don't see the value but enjoy! It's an attempt to reduce bias from scores from different shows, different nights, and different lineups. Just teasing the numbers a bit. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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