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2018 Prediction Thread


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43 minutes ago, boxingfred said:
  1.  
  2.   Added drill writing god to their staff. Should be good                                                                                                               

Wasn't MG on board after the 16 season?

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All statistical analyses for the championship have boiled down to pretty much same thing for the last decade--- BD v. the field.  Not that it's not exciting to see the tours play out of course, but that's pretty much the championship.  The in/out line for finals is where to look for the excitement most years.

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12 hours ago, Ediker said:

More food for your predictions.  Graphic showing the current Top 12's historical placements...  

Q7N6BG0.png

This visual still shows that based on trends and algorithms like

1. SCV

2. BD

3. Bluecoats

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10 hours ago, KVG_DC said:

All statistical analyses for the championship have boiled down to pretty much same thing for the last decade--- BD v. the field.  Not that it's not exciting to see the tours play out of course, but that's pretty much the championship.  The in/out line for finals is where to look for the excitement most years.

Yeah, BD is definitely on one of their long rides at/near the top.  While no one has been as consistent as BD, Cavies and Cadets have had such dynastic periods.  Star of Indiana was poised to be a dynasty before they split.  The huge vacuum left by Star opened the door for the "second coming" of BD.  Yes, I agree, the 12th place cut off has volatility and excitement.  I'll have to create a graphic showing the revolving door of 9th-18th.  

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On 3/30/2018 at 9:18 AM, ThePlanets said:

This visual still shows that based on trends and algorithms like

1. SCV

2. BD

3. Bluecoats

Their trajectories definitely suggest that, even though my gut is not entirely feeling it that way. 

The smoothest recent trend lines appear to be BD, SCV, and Cadets.  BD is maintaining.  SCV has been on a long climb.  Cadets appear to be steadying a ship that could go either way, but is likely at/near bottom and ready to climb (similar to Crossmen 2008-2012).

Edited by Ediker
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