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2018 Predict the Results - Week #3


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Saturday, July 7                           

              Seattle Music Summer Games            

    Corps Score
Santa Clara Vanguard 1 Santa Clara Vanguard 81.65
Blue Knights 2 Blue Knights 74.65
Academy 3 Academy 71.75
Oregon Crusaders 4 Troopers 68.75
Seattle Cascades 5 Oregon Crusaders 65.70
Troopers 6 Pacific Crest 65.40
Pacific Crest 7 Seattle Cascades 61.90

                              CrownBEAT                              

    Corps Score
Bluecoats 1 Bluecoats 83.30
Carolina Crown 2 Carolina Crown 81.90
Boston Crusaders 3 Boston Crusaders 80.70
Cadets 4 Cadets 78.30
Spirit of Atlanta 5 Spirit of Atlanta 71.95
Jersey Surf 6 Music City 61.80
Music City 7 Jersey Surf 60.00

                            DCI Minnesota                           

    Corps Score
Blue Devils 1 Blue Devils 81.95
Cavaliers 2 Cavaliers 81.25
Phantom Regiment 3 Phantom Regiment 76.20
Blue Stars 4 Blue Stars 75.20
Crossmen 5 Crossmen 74.75
Madison Scouts 6 Colts 72.60
Colts 7 Madison Scouts 71.35
Genesis 8 Genesis 64.05
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                   Drums of Fire                      

1 c mor 64.250
2 3PoC 58.750
3 barigirl78 55.550
4 markt1960 53.700
5 TheAngryBavarian 53.600
6 wever34 53.200
7 Narrow 52.850
8 MarchandPlay 52.550
9 Mahler49 52.200
10 Jim Schehr 51.950
11 CarolinaCrown 50.250
12 FaustianMachine 50.050
13 kalad's_phantoms_regiment 49.700

max score: 70.000

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With three shows happening today, anything can happen! Can 3PoC keep his lead? Will c mor continue to climb the standings? Will an upset at tonights' shows give us a come-from-behind winner? Here are the current week standings.

 

           Current Week #3 Standings           
                           (updated July 7, 10:35pm HST)

1 ↑1 3PoC 404.450
2 ↑2 c mor 401.000
3 ↓2 Narrow 400.650
4 ↓1 FaustianMachine 392.250
5 Jim Schehr 388.245
6 TheAngryBavarian 382.450
7 barigirl78 382.150
8 MarchandPlay 369.700
9 Mahler49 369.050
10 wever34 362.400
11 markt1960 277.750
12 kalad's_phantoms_regiment 262.050
13 CarolinaCrown 205.350
14 ForTheCommonGood 123.050
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These are the projections for the WC top 17 based on linear regression.  Sorry for the bad formatting.

"pred" is predicted score for July 7

"rate" is average improvement in points/day

"rsq" is the proportion of the variance accounted for by a straight line.

rnk corps         pred        rate       rsq
 1  BLUECTS     84.20     0.87     0.99
 2  CROWN       82.45     0.80     0.98
 3  BDEVILS     82.35     0.74     1.00
 4  SCV             82.35     0.74     0.96
 5  BAC             82.00     0.90     0.98
 6  CAVS           80.65     0.71     0.96
 7  CADETS      79.85     0.91     0.95
 8  PHANTOM    75.55     0.71     0.98
 9  MANDRNS    75.30     0.78     0.96
10  BKNIGHT     74.85     0.58     0.96
11  BLUSTRS     74.65     0.78     0.95
12  XMEN           74.65     0.77     0.93
13  SPIRIT          72.85     0.80     0.89
14  ACADEMY    72.30     0.69     0.96
15  COLTS           71.30     0.78     0.87
16  MADISON     70.70     0.67     0.97
17  TROOPER     69.35     0.70     0.96

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-

Edited by patrick643
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    Seattle Music Summer Games      

1 MarchandPlay 62.050
2 FaustianMachine 53.900
3 kalad's_phantoms_regiment 52.900
4 3PoC 52.650
4 TheAngryBavarian 52.650
6 Narrow 52.600
7 c mor 52.150
7 CarolinaCrown 52.150
9 markt1960 51.500
10 Jim Schehr 50.880
11 barigirl78 50.250
12 wever34 47.050
13 Mahler49 36.450

                      CrownBEAT                      

1 kalad's_phantoms_regiment 66.950
2 TheAngryBavarian 65.800
3 Narrow 64.950
4 MarchandPlay 64.300
5 CarolinaCrown 64.200
6 c mor 64.150
7 FaustianMachine 64.100
8 markt1960 63.900
9 barigirl78 63.750
9 Jim Schehr 63.750
11 3PoC 56.300
12 Mahler49 54.150
13 wever34 45.300

                   DCI Minnesota                   

1 c mor 76.800
2 MarchandPlay 74.300
3 CarolinaCrown 73.650
4 3PoC 73.100
5 kalad's_phantoms_regiment 72.650
6 Narrow 72.600
7 barigirl78 64.250
8 FaustianMachine 61.400
9 Mahler49 61.350
10 wever34 60.750
11 Jim Schehr 56.345
12 markt1960 53.500
13 TheAngryBavarian 53.050
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@c mor comes from behind and does it! Congrats you are this week's winner! Thanks to everyone who played this week. On to the next! Please put in your predictions for Sunday's shows as soon as possible.

                     Week #3 Results                   

1 ↑1 c mor 594.100
2 ↑1 Narrow  590.800
3 ↓2 3PoC  586.500
4 FaustianMachine 571.650
5 ↑3 MarchandPlay 570.350
6 ↑1 barigirl78 560.400
7 ↓2 Jim Schehr 559.220
8 ↓2 TheAngryBavarian 553.950
9 Mahler49 521.000
10 wever34 515.500
11 ↑1 kalad's_phantoms_regiment 454.550
12 ↓1 markt1960 446.650
13 CarolinaCrown 395.350
14 ForTheCommonGood 123.050
Edited by patrick643
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Week #3 Recap River City Rhapsody Western Corps Connectioln The Beanpot Drums Across the Desert Rotary Music Festival DrumCorps: An American Tradition The Northwoods Encore Drums of Fire Seattle Music Summer Games CrownBEAT DCI Minnesota Total
1 c mor 63.050 65.750 41.350 38.800 45.100 47.500 35.200 64.250 52.150 64.150 76.800 594.100
2 Narrow  65.350 67.400 47.350 38.500 46.700 47.200 35.300 52.850 52.600 64.950 72.600 590.800
3 3PoC  65.050 67.150 48.650 37.850 46.300 45.100 35.600 58.750 52.650 56.300 73.100 586.500
4 FaustianMachine 62.100 65.400 47.150 38.750 46.600 47.200 35.000 50.050 53.900 64.100 61.400 571.650
5 MarchandPlay 64.250 64.700 38.600 34.600 41.000 36.450 37.550 52.550 62.050 64.300 74.300 570.350
6 barigirl78 63.550 53.800 47.900 36.450 45.900 43.300 35.700 55.550 50.250 63.750 64.250 560.400
7 Jim Schehr 62.350 64.800 46.385 37.700 46.465 44.295 34.300 51.950 50.880 63.750 56.345 559.220
8 TheAngryBavarian 62.450 65.250 46.800 36.750 45.700 36.850 35.050 53.600 52.650 65.800 53.050 553.950
9 Mahler49 54.350 67.750 39.850 36.100 43.900 40.000 34.900 52.200 36.450 54.150 61.350 521.000
10 wever34 54.750 65.900 38.650 34.300 42.900 37.700 35.000 53.200 47.050 45.300 60.750 515.500
11 kalad's_phantoms_regiment     47.000 37.550 46.050 47.450 34.300 49.700 52.900 66.950 72.650 454.550
12 markt1960     47.250 38.400 45.500 48.000 44.900 53.700 51.500 63.900 53.500 446.650
13 CarolinaCrown     47.250 37.200   33.700 36.950 50.250 52.150 64.200 73.650 395.350
14 ForTheCommonGood 66.750 56.300                   123.050
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52 minutes ago, patrick643 said:

@c mor comes from behind and does it! Congrats you are this week's winner! Thanks to everyone who played this week. On to the next! Please put in your predictions for Sunday's shows as soon as possible.

                     Week #3 Results                   

1 ↑1 c mor 594.100
2 ↑1 Narrow  590.800
3 ↓2 3PoC  586.500
4 FaustianMachine 571.650
5 ↑3 MarchandPlay 570.350
6 ↑1 barigirl78 560.400
7 ↓2 Jim Schehr 559.220
8 ↓2 TheAngryBavarian 553.950
9 Mahler49 521.000
10 wever34 515.500
11 ↑1 kalad's_phantoms_regiment 454.550
12 ↓1 markt1960 446.650
13 CarolinaCrown 395.350
14 ForTheCommonGood 123.050

Woo Hoo!    :w00t:

Thank you very much.  I'd like to take this moment to thank all those who've been so instrumental in my rise to fame...

It has been such a whirlwind, what with the press conferences, book signings, and red carpet appearances, I owe it all to the little people.

 

 

 

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