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2019 Predictions!


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13. Mandarins

12. Spirit Of Atlanta 

11. Blue Knights

10. Crossmen

9. Blue Stars

8. Phantom Regiment

7. Cadets

6. Boston Crusaders 

5.The Cavilers 

4. Santa Clara Vanguard

3. Blue Devils 

2. Carolina Crown

1. Bluecoats  

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On 6/5/2019 at 3:06 PM, Glenn426 said:

1 BD

2 Bluecoats

3 SCV

4 Boston

5 Crown

6 Cavies

7 Cadets

8 Blue Knights

9 Phantom

10 Blue Stars

11 Mandarins

12 Crossmen

Going to revise right before the final bell.

1 BD

2 Bluecoats

------------------------------------ Tier 1

3 Boston

4 SCV

5 Crown

_____________________ Tier 2

6 Cadets

7 Cavies

_____________________ Tier 3

8 Blue Stars

9 Mandarins

10 Blue Knights

___________________ Tier 4

11 Crossman

12 Phantom

Once ATL comes around I think these will be the corps in the same comparable competitive area.

 

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ok, I'll try:

 

1 Bluecoats

------------------------------------ Tier 1a

2 BD

3 SCV

------------------------------------ Tier 1b

4 Boston

5 Crown

_____________________ Tier 2

6 Cadets

7 Cavies

_____________________ Tier 3

8 Blue Stars

9 Blue Knights

10 Mandarins

___________________ Tier 4

11 Phantom

12 Academy

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My sure to be wrong prediction:

1. SCV

2. Bluecoats

3. BD

4.Boston

5. Cadets

6. Crown

7. Cavaliers

8. Mandarins

9. Blue Stars

10. Blue Knights

11. PR

12. Spirit

13. Crossmen

14. Academy

 

Edit: I feel like it's going to be incredibly close this year. I could see SCV breaking away early. I could also see this year having the most corps in the hunt for the championship than we've seen in a long time.

I think it's going to come down to the wire this year (I hope!). I really want to see things too close to call where any of the top 4-5 corps could realistically win on any given night.

Edited by East9900
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2 hours ago, Glenn426 said:

There are strong known biases in the judging community. Also there was a judging scandal in the 2000's where alot of well known tenured DCI judges were found out to be manipulating the system...  Cant remember the exact details or who was involved, but the average has been around since then to remove the ultimate power that one judge has. Hell that's why they started to Double panel GE finals night in DCI & WGI because the biases that one judge might have are reduced when their score is quartered in the final tally.

There are still strong biases that exist today where no matter what happens on the field you know that this judge will have this corps in first when they judge... 

I hadn't heard about the scandal in the 2000s. Today - is it outright bias or a differing of opinion? I'm ok with the latter. I do think herd-judging mentality is a concern. Corps should be moving a round a bit more, placement wise, within their grouping, but that rarely happens. I do think, by and large, the judges do get it right. I don't think there's a single year I would argue that a champion wasn't worthy of being a champion, but with most of those years, I could make arguments as to why 1 or 2 other corps were also worthy of being a champion. But, I am not a qualified judge, so I defer to those who are. 

Whether it's outright bias or differing opinion, it still doesn't make sense. If DCI is so concerned that one judge can skew the caption awards but not concerned one judge can change the outcome of the champion, then that is just silly. I would much rather them get the champion right than the high brass winner. When I won my championship, I didn't give two craps that we didn't win my caption. I'd have rather finished 53rd (or whatever the lowest possible placement was) in my caption and 1st overall, then 1st in my caption and 2nd overall. Of course, finishing 53rd in my caption would have caused us to not win overall, but you get my point I'm sure.

 

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1 hour ago, Glenn426 said:

Going to revise right before the final bell.

1 BD

2 Bluecoats

------------------------------------ Tier 1

3 Boston

4 SCV

5 Crown

_____________________ Tier 2

6 Cadets

7 Cavies

_____________________ Tier 3

8 Blue Stars

9 Mandarins

10 Blue Knights

___________________ Tier 4

11 Crossman

12 Phantom

Once ATL comes around I think these will be the corps in the same comparable competitive area.

 

You have 5 groups and 4 tiers. 

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Before the 1st downbeat, here's my best guess for DCI 19:

1 Bluecoats
2 Blue Devils
3 Vanguard

4 Crusaders
5 Crown

6 Cavaliers
7 Cadets

8 Blue Stars
9 Blue Knights
10 Phantom Regiment


11 Crossmen
12 Spirit
13 Mandarins

14 Scouts
15 Colts
16 Academy
17 Troopers
...
I actually think the season could turn out much wilder than this prediction would make it seem.

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