Popular Post hostrauser Posted June 24, 2019 Popular Post Share Posted June 24, 2019 It's been a few years since I've done this, hasn't it? Anyway, not too many shows yet, so the numbers are still very rough. The formulas will get more comfortable with more data. Here are the current estimated championships week scores for the World Class corps... 98.141 Santa Clara Vanguard 97.333 Blue Devils 97.327 Carolina Crown 96.795 Bluecoats 95.273 Cavaliers 95.266 Boston Crusaders 91.273 Mandarins 91.030 Cadets 89.852 Blue Stars 88.650 Blue Knights 87.407 Academy 86.397 Crossmen 85.731 Phantom Regiment 85.381 Spirit of Atlanta 84.121 Colts 84.067 Madison Scouts 82.290 Troopers 79.200 Pacific Crest 78.019 Music City 74.938 Genesis 72.256 Cascades 70.613 Jersey Surf 10 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ranintothedoor Posted June 24, 2019 Share Posted June 24, 2019 Get it Mandarins! 🙂 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Land_Surfer Posted June 24, 2019 Share Posted June 24, 2019 I don’t think there is any other scored activity that has its outcome so accurately predicted than drum corps. After 3-4 weeks, what point is there to remain on the road once your placement has been decided? You can’t argue with this or the DCI ranking. They are extremely accurate. Just kinda takes the wind out of the sails for those struggling corps. It also proves that corps designers should be more pragmatic and develop their shows in stages throughout the season. Prediction lists and rankings should be dropped and only the scores be published. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Reed Posted June 24, 2019 Share Posted June 24, 2019 How are the corps who haven’t performed yet ranked? I enjoy seeing your rankings, but just curious. Thanks! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hostrauser Posted June 24, 2019 Author Share Posted June 24, 2019 6 minutes ago, Reed said: How are the corps who haven’t performed yet ranked? I enjoy seeing your rankings, but just curious. Thanks! Scoring trends from last year's championships week and the week prior. In modern DCI, it's usually safe to assume a corps will be more or less in the same range as the year prior. There are always exceptions, of course, but we don't need to plan on, say Jersey Surf or the Cascades, suddenly coming out and scoring with the likes SCV and Crown. That sort of build up takes time. It's basically a stab in the dark, but it'll have to do until 2019 scores come in for those corps. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluecoats88 Posted June 24, 2019 Share Posted June 24, 2019 not sure how your rankings can place Crown over Bluecoats. they've met once and bluecoats beat them. then Bluecoats beat Cadets on Saturday by 4.55. sunday crown beat Cadets by just under 4 points. Based on head to head and most recent spreads against common corps Bluecoats should be at least .5 ahead of Crown Your Algorithm makes no sense unless you are using relative spreads and not just latest scores cause scores vary based on the competition you see. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post hostrauser Posted June 24, 2019 Author Popular Post Share Posted June 24, 2019 28 minutes ago, bluecoats88 said: not sure how your rankings can place Crown over Bluecoats. 7 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OldSnareDrummer Posted June 24, 2019 Share Posted June 24, 2019 Kudos for sticking your neck out there, hostrauser after just week 1. Not a big sample to work with yet, but I like where you're headed with this. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GeneralTsoChicken Posted June 24, 2019 Share Posted June 24, 2019 50 minutes ago, bluecoats88 said: not sure how your rankings can place Crown over Bluecoats. they've met once and bluecoats beat them. then Bluecoats beat Cadets on Saturday by 4.55. sunday crown beat Cadets by just under 4 points. Based on head to head and most recent spreads against common corps Bluecoats should be at least .5 ahead of Crown Your Algorithm makes no sense unless you are using relative spreads and not just latest scores cause scores vary based on the competition you see. Because it isn't based on JUST head to head. That's not abnormal for ranking polls. College football teams ROUTINELY end up higher in polls than teams they lost to. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaxDCIFan Posted June 24, 2019 Share Posted June 24, 2019 1 hour ago, Land_Surfer said: I don’t think there is any other scored activity that has its outcome so accurately predicted than drum corps. After 3-4 weeks, what point is there to remain on the road once your placement has been decided? You can’t argue with this or the DCI ranking. They are extremely accurate. Just kinda takes the wind out of the sails for those struggling corps. It also proves that corps designers should be more pragmatic and develop their shows in stages throughout the season. Prediction lists and rankings should be dropped and only the scores be published. There are plenty of good reasons to stay on the road even if your corps isn’t going to win or make the top 12. Because it isn’t just about winning. Drop the scores entirely and focus on the educational experience for the youth and entertaining large crowds of people. Way too much emphasis on scores and placement in my opinion. If this activity was all about winning I never would’ve spent a nickel of my family’s hard-earned money on drum Corps tuition. I’ve had my kids in this activity so they could be better people who are prepared for life. And I get to collect more T-shirt’s. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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