DrumScorps

DCI World Championship Finals - Saturday, August 10, 2019

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8 hours ago, 27Socal said:

Oh it be.  The last head to head for Chumley between BD and BC in VA was Atlanta.  He had BC up by .1

 

And ... BD improved significantly since Atlanta.  Cleaned their movement. Refined their ensemble sets and structure.  Added visual “accents”/feature to the show. Guard cleans/adds.  Chumley noticed, and judged that growth vs BC and others accordingly.  Why else would he “flip” from July 20-something until now?  Historical data is certainly relevant.   But the farther back you go in history (in this case a season) the less reliable you get.  Corps’ performance level and show growth/moves/adds/changes factor in.    

Here’s the thing ... you mentioned being off by 1 point is impressive given your model was 99% accurate. But your same data will tell you that BD and BC were within .5 or less .... and .2x or less in the final few weeks...  all season.  So calling a 1 point gap for Finals, statistically, is waaaay off.  

Edited by bgg80
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19 minutes ago, bgg80 said:

And ... BD improved significantly since Atlanta.  Cleaned their movement. Refined their ensemble sets and structure.  Added visual “accents”/feature to the show. Guard cleans/adds.  Chumley noticed, and judged that growth vs BC and others accordingly.  Why else would he “flip” from July 20-something until now?  Historical data is certainly relevant.   But the farther back you go in history (in this case a season) the less reliable you get.  Corps’ performance level and show growth/moves/adds/changes factor in.    

Here’s the thing ... you mentioned being off by 1 point is impressive given your model was 99% accurate. But your same data will tell you that BD and BC were within .5 or less .... and .2x or less, all season.  So calling a 1 point gap for Finals, statistically, is waaaay off.  

Because MATH!

15 yard penalty for using ACTUAL math and not that "Common Corps" crap.

Edited by garfield

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5 minutes ago, DrumManTx said:

Just like that, it's over.  Wow.  What a season.  What a night.  What a quarterfinals.  What a semifinals.  What a finals.  What a fight for the top.  Awestruck at the talent from top to bottom this year.  Here's my thoughts on finals week.  Thanks for another amazing season, I'm probably gonna sign off for the most part for awhile.  Life is about to get crazy, but I had fun following the season again with you all.  

 

For me, a highlight of the season is reading your review day after Finals.  You’re the best reviewer in the business 😉

Thank you 

 

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9 minutes ago, garfield said:

And my Knoxvillian brother is starting trials, too.

What are you guys drinking in TN?

It’s just a numbers game. Nashville is growing at a rate of 100 newcomers a day. 

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When do we institute instant replay in DCI?

lol

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8 hours ago, FlamMan said:

 Jeff P. needs his head examined.

Haven't read all the posts, but here are the percussion Achievement scores for the three nights.

Pre.   SCV  9.9             Sem.     SCV  9.8             Fin.       BD  10.0

           CC    9.8                            BC    9.75                        SCV  9.9

            BD    9.75                         BD     9.65                        BC    9.75

 

Nice jump for BD from Semis and no change for BC.   Without proof, I still feel judges, especially at finals, have checked before Semis and Finals what their associates gave for scores the previous nights in their discipline.  Judges are very good at knowing the numbers.

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9 hours ago, Poppycock said:

No one beats BD! No one

Let's see 73, 74, 75, 78, 81, 83, 84, 85, 87,88, 89, 90, 91, 92, 93, 95, 98, 00, 01, 02, 04, 05, 06, 08, 11, 13, 16, & 18.

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9 hours ago, Poppycock said:

I heard all the smack talk and snarky comments about BD. How do you like us now? 

As we all read the same "smack talk and snarky comments" about Boston's guard last night.  How do you like them now?

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47 minutes ago, bgg80 said:

And ... BD improved significantly since Atlanta.  Cleaned their movement. Refined their ensemble sets and structure.  Added visual “accents”/feature to the show. Guard cleans/adds.  Chumley noticed, and judged that growth vs BC and others accordingly.  Why else would he “flip” from July 20-something until now?  Historical data is certainly relevant.   But the farther back you go in history (in this case a season) the less reliable you get.  Corps’ performance level and show growth/moves/adds/changes factor in.    

Here’s the thing ... you mentioned being off by 1 point is impressive given your model was 99% accurate. But your same data will tell you that BD and BC were within .5 or less .... and .2x or less in the final few weeks...  all season.  So calling a 1 point gap for Finals, statistically, is waaaay off.  

Everyone improved significantly since then.

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1 minute ago, Ghost said:

Let's see 73, 74, 75, 78, 81, 83, 84, 85, 87,88, 89, 90, 91, 92, 93, 95, 98, 00, 01, 02, 04, 05, 06, 08, 11, 13, 16, & 18.

Well when you put it THAT way ..... 😂

What's more impressive to me: Of those 29 "losses", 19 were medalists (2 or 3), 10 were silver medalists. 

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