vferrera Posted July 9, 2006 Share Posted July 9, 2006 I've been debating whether to tinker with the formula since last night's results came in well below expectations. However, my attitude is that these projections are a "benchmark", so I want to keep it as simple as possible. rnk corps last pred diff rate 1 BD 85.53 86.90 1.38 0.56 2 CAV 85.00 86.40 1.40 0.55 3 CAD 83.38 85.85 2.47 0.63 4 BC 82.35 84.75 2.40 0.60 5 PR 83.45 84.10 0.65 0.60 6 CRN 79.53 81.45 1.92 0.67 7 SCV 80.85 81.20 0.35 0.48 8 BAC 79.95 81.15 1.20 0.60 9 BK 78.90 80.55 1.65 0.80 10 MS 78.17 80.25 2.08 0.59 11 GM 77.47 79.20 1.73 0.54 12 SPT 75.30 77.35 2.05 0.58 13 CLT 74.05 76.25 2.20 0.60 14 XM 74.20 75.60 1.40 0.62 15 BS 72.38 74.45 2.08 0.63 16 MAN 70.05 72.10 2.05 0.65 17 PC 69.90 71.85 1.95 0.60 18 CR 70.67 71.35 0.67 0.56 19 SWD 68.70 68.55 -0.15 0.50 20 ESP 64.15 66.45 2.30 0.47 21 MAG 64.45 65.65 1.20 0.68 22 PNR 60.23 63.55 3.32 0.70 23 CAS 61.95 62.15 0.20 0.10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
louielouie Posted July 9, 2006 Share Posted July 9, 2006 start over your not close. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vferrera Posted July 10, 2006 Author Share Posted July 10, 2006 Here are the actual scores compared to the projections. The median error was 0.7. corps pred actual error BD 86.90 86.40 -0.50 CAD 85.85 84.40 -1.45 PR 84.10 84.60 0.50 CRN 81.45 80.65 -0.80 SCV 81.20 80.75 -0.45 BK 80.55 80.10 -0.45 CLT 76.25 74.90 -1.35 XM 75.60 73.60 -2.00 MAN 72.10 71.80 -0.30 PC 71.85 72.90 1.05 CR 71.35 72.65 1.30 ESP 66.45 67.15 0.70 CAS 62.15 61.95 -0.20 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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