i've seen avon in person many times this season (probably too many times) and you can't compare the replay show to seeing it in person. their show is insanely intense and technical and it's just ridiculous at times, which is something that the replay video can't convey.
i don't see avon losing the championship for multiple reasons: they have a very difficult movement book and they perform it at an extremely high level, their equipment work is just as difficult and it's being performed at, again, an extremely high level. i'm not going to say that no other guard is doing that as well, because i know they are. i just think that when it comes down to it, avon will have the edge over every other guard in all facets of the adjudication process because their demand is so much greater than the other guards. all guards will be clean, yes, but the judges will look at the shows being performed and say "ok, everyone's clean, but who is performing the most difficult and demanding show with this cleanliness?" their answer: avon.
but these are my opinions, which are to be taken as you want to take them (with a grain of salt, i assume). i'm just offering some support to my prediction, since you asked for it. :)