glory Posted June 29, 2009 Share Posted June 29, 2009 these numbers (below) give some idea of the improvement over the past week. Most corps have gone up 5-6 points ("diff" column). Obviously, that's going to slow down since there are 6 weeks left in the season and corps rarely go up 30-36 pts in one season. More like 20-25. "Rate" is the slope of the linear (boo-hiss) regression line. It translates to points per day. Before you get all twisted up over my use of a linear analysis, look at the r-sq. That's the fraction of variance explained by the linear fit. Yes, BD's scores so far are fit by a PERFECTLY straight line. Comes under the heading of "things not found in nature." Notice Blue Stars improvement. I would say that this reflects a change in the perception of the judges. They are definitely being seen as top 6 material this year. Also note the rate of improvement for BK, BAC, and GMEN relative to TROOP, COLTS, SPIRIT and MADISON. That could point to some reshuffling of the 7-15 slots this year. rnk corps low high diff rate r-sq 1 BDEVILS 76.10 81.65 5.55 0.66 1.00 2 SCV 74.20 79.75 5.55 0.70 0.93 3 CROWN 73.10 79.40 6.30 0.64 0.97 4 CADETS 74.60 78.70 4.10 0.69 0.97 5 CAVIES 75.10 78.70 3.60 0.37 0.68 6 PHANTOM 72.70 77.70 5.00 0.56 0.68 7 BLUECTS 74.60 77.45 2.85 0.52 0.88 8 BLUSTRS 66.20 74.50 8.30 0.85 0.66 9 BKNIGHT 70.60 72.35 1.75 0.27 0.69 10 BAC 68.80 72.40 3.60 0.29 0.48 11 GLASSMN 66.10 70.20 4.10 0.34 0.61 12 COLTS 63.00 69.70 6.70 0.64 0.81 13 TROOPER 65.50 69.70 4.20 0.80 0.98 14 SPIRIT 63.70 69.60 5.90 0.59 0.47 15 MADISON 63.70 69.50 5.80 0.65 0.84 16 ACADEMY 66.00 67.70 1.70 0.26 0.37 17 XMEN 63.80 65.60 1.80 0.60 1.00 18 MANDRNS 63.80 66.15 2.35 0.23 0.77 19 PACREST 63.20 64.80 1.60 1.60 1.00 20 PIONEER 59.00 61.90 2.90 0.51 0.94 21 CASCADE NaN NaN NaN 0.00 0.00 22 SURF NaN NaN NaN 0.00 0.00 So ... You think this approach has more validity than staring at the schedule and eating Cheetos? Does it say which corps will break 90 first? I didn't think so. Staring and eat'n Cheetos does! HH Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCIpwnstesn00bs Posted June 29, 2009 Share Posted June 29, 2009 So ...You think this approach has more validity than staring at the schedule and eating Cheetos? Does it say which corps will break 90 first? I didn't think so. Staring and eat'n Cheetos does! HH i dont think this is for validity, i think its just another way to look at things and gimme some cheetos Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vferrera Posted June 29, 2009 Share Posted June 29, 2009 So ...You think this approach has more validity than staring at the schedule and eating Cheetos? Does it say which corps will break 90 first? I didn't think so. Staring and eat'n Cheetos does! HH nothing beats the raw predictive power of cheetos. math is a poor substitute. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
glory Posted June 29, 2009 Share Posted June 29, 2009 nothing beats the raw predictive power of cheetos. math is a poor substitute. You bet. And not that I'm giving up the Cheetos, but what would an r-square approaching one indicate? HH Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vferrera Posted June 29, 2009 Share Posted June 29, 2009 but what would an r-square approaching one indicate? it means that the data are close to a straight line. more like a puffed cheeto than a crunchy one (assuming the puffed is straight). Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DCIpwnstesn00bs Posted June 29, 2009 Share Posted June 29, 2009 You bet. And not that I'm giving up the Cheetos, but what would an r-square approaching one indicate? HH Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
glory Posted June 29, 2009 Share Posted June 29, 2009 it means that the data are close to a straight line. more like a puffed cheeto than a crunchy one (assuming the puffed is straight). I don't acknowledge the crunchy kind. If my wife's brain were to be commandeered by space aliens who force her to buy them, they would just sit there until the aliens destroy the world (we know they don't biodegrade (or is is just degrade?)). Anyway, what's the significance of the straight line (the puffed/original cheeto, as it were)? HH Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
acolli17 Posted June 29, 2009 Share Posted June 29, 2009 Graphs remind me of why I went in to music and was so excited when I found out I didn't have to take a math class in college. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
vferrera Posted June 29, 2009 Share Posted June 29, 2009 Anyway, what's the significance of the straight line (the puffed/original cheeto, as it were)? HH a line is a line is a line. a puff is just a puff a sigh is just a sigh Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sydstranda Posted July 1, 2009 Author Share Posted July 1, 2009 1. Carolina Crown 83.000 2. Holy Name Cadets 81.700 3. Blue Devils 81.650 4. Santa Clara Vanguard 79.750 5. Cavaliers 79.000 6. Phantom Regiment 78.400 7. Bluecoats 77.450 8. Boston Crusaders 76.000 9. Blue Stars 74.700 10. Blue Knights 72.350 11. Glassmen 72.000 12. Troopers 69.700 13. Madison Scouts 69.400 14. Spirit 69.300 15. Colts 68.500 16. The Academy 67.700 17. Crossmen 67.600 18. Mandarins 65.150 19. Pacific Crest 64.800 20. Jersey Surf 64.700 21. Pioneer 63.600 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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