Score Projections for Aug. 1

[dciguy01]

PC, lol

[vferrera]

Results. PC didn't come anywhere close to an 85. That's what happens when you make projections based on scores that are nearly 3 weeks old. On the other hand 7 of 15 scores were within 0.6 of their projection. Scores at Rome were way high except for PR.

corps	   pred	  actual	error
PHANTOM	 94.10	 93.20	 -0.90
SCV		 89.20	 89.80	 0.60
BAC		 87.45	 89.15	 1.70
PACREST	 85.45	 73.20	 -12.25
MADISON	 86.55	 86.65	 0.10
GLASSMN	 85.00	 84.90	 -0.10
SPIRIT	  84.55	 84.65	 0.10
COLTS	   82.00	 81.80	 -0.20
CAPREG	  80.60	 78.70	 -1.90
XMEN		80.75	 80.55	 -0.20
BLUSTRS	 79.75	 79.45	 -0.30
SOWIND	  76.25	 78.60	 2.35
MAGIC	   74.25	 75.85	 1.60
CASCADE	 73.60	 77.00	 3.40
ESPRNZA	 72.05	 73.70	 1.65

[sassy1]

 rnk corps	   last	  pred	  diff	 rate
1  BDEVILS	 93.55	 94.85	 1.30	 0.39
2  CAVIES	  94.05	 94.85	 0.80	 0.40
3  PHANTOM	 93.40	 94.10	 0.70	 0.46
4  BLUECTS	 91.45	 92.65	 1.20	 0.38
5  CADETS	  90.90	 91.65	 0.75	 0.33
6  SCV		 88.60	 89.20	 0.60	 0.39
7  CROWN	   87.55	 88.50	 0.95	 0.36
8  BKNIGHT	 86.50	 87.60	 1.10	 0.38
9  BAC		 87.55	 87.45	 -0.10	0.34
10  MADISON	 86.00	 86.55	 0.55	 0.32
11  PACREST	 74.60	 85.45	 10.85	0.60 *
12  GLASSMN	 84.80	 85.00	 0.20	 0.26
13  SPIRIT	  83.55	 84.55	 1.00	 0.39
14  COLTS	   81.85	 82.00	 0.15	 0.32
15  XMEN		78.88	 80.75	 1.88	 0.30
16  CAPREG	  79.20	 80.60	 1.40	 0.41
17  BLUSTRS	 78.20	 79.75	 1.55	 0.30
18  MANDRNS	 75.00	 76.55	 1.55	 0.29
19  SOWIND	  75.90	 76.25	 0.35	 0.38
20  MAGIC	   73.20	 74.25	 1.05	 0.43
21  CASCADE	 74.70	 73.60	 -1.10	0.45
22  ESPRNZA	 73.40	 72.05	 -1.35	0.29
23  PIONEER	 69.45	 69.90	 0.45	 0.37

*based on limited data.

[sassy1]

PC at 85?????? Way off....

[MikeBob]

PC at 85?????? Way off....

Yeah, I think that may have been remarked on once or twice.

I'd suggest, in future, leaving PC out of it entirely, since they clearly don't fit into the machine, as it were. You know they're not going to go from a 74 to an 85, so why even keep the data in there?

[triplefunk]

Go BLOOOOO! I was in such awe how far they have come over the years. I loved the show at Bloomington/Normal.... (very early in the year, haven't heard since :S) But I'm really excited to see them near the top!

[Vanguard07]

I don't know, it's really in anyones ball. I personally don't think that anyone has "clinched" a placement.

Edited August 2, 2006 by Vanguard07