It seems like the only way you could assume Madison would overtake Troop this year would be because of the big names they've hired. I think the Troopers are a great example of an amazing team coming together to build a great corps, but they still had to build it.
It didn't happen in one year, or even two. If I had to bet, I would put my money with a corps that has had a team working together for the 4th year in a row over one that's revamping a majority of the staff.
Regardless, fighting for finals spots is much more interesting to watch than having a lock for a month.