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Score Projections for July 4


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I bagged the nonlinear method. too erratic. These are just based on linear trends.

"last" is the last posted real score

"pred" is the projected score

"change" is the diff between last and pred

"rate" is the average rate of improvement per day

rank is based on projected score

 
rnk corps   last	  pred	 change	rate
1  BD	  83.05	 84.95	 1.90	 0.62
2  CAV	 82.60	 83.80	 1.20	 0.56
3  CAD	 82.20	 83.55	 1.35	 0.73
4  BC	  81.90	 82.40	 0.50	 0.65
5  PR	  80.45	 80.90	 0.45	 0.58
6  SCV	 77.60	 80.00	 2.40	 0.58
7  CRN	 78.15	 78.85	 0.70	 0.80
8  MS	  78.10	 78.05	 -0.05	0.65
9  BAC	 77.15	 77.85	 0.70	 0.56
10  BK	  75.40	 77.55	 2.15	 0.91
11  SPT	 71.45	 75.05	 3.60	 0.64
12  CLT	 73.40	 74.05	 0.65	 0.66
13  XM	  72.40	 73.45	 1.05	 0.98
14  GM	  67.30	 72.10	 4.80	 0.28
15  BS	  70.75	 71.65	 0.90	 0.66
16  PC	  69.30	 70.20	 0.90	 0.74
17  MAN	 66.95	 70.00	 3.05	 0.74
18  CR	  65.25	 68.55	 3.30	 0.55
19  ESP	 64.40	 66.05	 1.65	 0.71
20  SWD	 65.75	 65.90	 0.15	 0.48
21  MAG	 63.20	 63.85	 0.65	 1.07
22  PNR	 60.40	 59.90	 -0.50	 0.68
23  CAS	 61.40	 59.60	 -1.80	-0.60

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I know it is early, and these standings aren't 'real' perse, but I am very surprised to see Seattle in last place. I hope they can turn it around the rest of this season.

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I know it is early, and these standings aren't 'real' perse, but I am very surprised to see Seattle in last place. I hope they can turn it around the rest of this season.

based on actual score, they are in 22nd place. They've only had 2 shows, so the projection can't be very accurate.

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If Seattle falls below Pioneer at any time, I will be floored

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If Seattle falls below Pioneer at any time, I will be floored

I am new to the drum corps world and everything, and hope to be marching a corps next year(so dont be too hard on me) but I dont think Seattle will continue to go down, from a score standpoint they might have tripped at the starting gate, but I think they will get back up there.

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Don't get me wrong, that's not a knock against Pioneer. It's more a shock at how they ascended the ranks so quickly 2000-2002 and then went on a downward turn since. Obviously I haven't seen their show so I don't know why they're ranked so low, but I'll get to see em in Allentown in August so we'll know what's up come then...

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If Seattle falls below Pioneer at any time, I will be floored
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