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Guitar1974

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  1. Interesting article, thanks for sharing. It is unfortunate to hear of kids with severe COVID, it does happen but is extremely rare. Since the outbreak started in March in my county we are close to 3,000 cases are there has not been one severe case in youth. Since I help oversee the epidemiology operation for our health department I see the daily disposition for every positive case and virtually all kids are either totally asymptomatic or have a very mild cold. Not to say it doesn't happen, just that it is indeed extremely rare. COVID is the strangest virus... For kids the incidence of severe illness is extremely rare, much less than influenza. For adults under retirement age and in decent health the incidence of severe illness is still extremely low, similar to flu. Once people hit their elderly years the incidence of severe cases increases significantly. For the large majority of the population the risk is very low, thankfully. In the county my health department serves a surprising number of the nursing home positive cases are asymptomatic or mildly ill, most people that have had severe illness in my county have been nursing home residents with multiple serious underlying health conditions.
  2. Yes, good points indeed. The Kawasaki syndrome is very debateable at this point, but kids bringing the virus home is a valid concern for sure. Such a tough situation.
  3. Yes but I would be interested in seeing how many of these cases are actually sick vs. asymptomatic. And of those sick, the severity of their illness. I would be willing to bet most these cases are asymptomatic or mildly ill at best. In my region there is a large outbreak in young migrant workers and virtually none of them are sick. They are all young and in decent health, they all are asymptomatic.
  4. CDC's best guess is 0.26 for infection fatality rate. It is really impossible at this point to know for sure since there is no way to know how many actual cases there are.
  5. Cases are very underreported, by a significant amount. At the onset of the outbreak only those with severe symptoms were tested due to the scarcity of tests. Many, many cases were missed. I work in public health and assure you the numbers are very inaccurate all around. The good news is the virus is much less of a threat to kids and young adults than typical influenza. Flu is much higher statistical risk to young people. It is frustrating to see so much misinformation and misunderstanding about COVID. People have been conditioned to believe the virus is a risk to kids- the data tells a much different story. At the health department we see the actual data and track all the cases daily. None of my health department colleagues with school-age kids want to see schools and activities cancelled.
  6. Fair enough. My point about the case count is that we've made decisions that are going to have long lasting ramifications based on very shaky data. I hope the infection fatality rate is extremely low, that'd be the best scenario. I just hope the data shows this soon so we can get back to life.
  7. Someone deleted sections of my post, FYI. I made no political comments, only that many people are forming opinions and making decisions based on very, very flawed data. COVID mortality will be proven much less dangerous than you are being told. Wait and watch the actual data unfold.
  8. Yes, this (above). The data everybody is using to base their decisions on is extremely flawed. Only a tiny fraction of the actual cases are reported due to the severe lack of tests. Add to that most people being tested are ones that show fairly severe symptoms of COVID. This leads to an extreme understatement in the actual infection rate and overstatement in the true mortality rate. We count every death (most have severe underlying conditions) but only a tiny fraction of the cases. This has led to the extreme overreaction we are in now. Nobody will actually admit they were way off in the estimation of the lethality of COVID and when the data shows the fatality rate far, far below what was originally stated you will be told it is due to social distancing and lockdown. This is incorrect. We are still funneling into the grocery store, Wal-Mart, and Target. You are still being exposed. It is just way less dangerous than you were told. I'm sure lots of you will disagree, and that is fine. Pay attention to the data in the coming weeks.
  9. Woodwinds are definitely MUCH more finicky than brass, but would probably stand up to touring similar to synths and stringed instruments. Most intermediate-level WW would probably survive with care. The main thing is keeping them dry. They also go out of adjustment really easy and fixing leaks would be a big challenge for a horn tech all summer long. I can't see corps using actual wood instruments due to temp and humidity, they'd likely use the higher end plastic ones. Still very $$$, though- and reeds are really expensive, too. The thing that you need to consider when talking about employing woodwinds is the need to think of them like an electric guitar- they would all need mic'ing / amplification and pricey audio systems would go hand-in-hand. More finicky/delicate, expensive stuff to keep dry, etc... I can't for the life of me think how anyone can believe the juice is worth the squeeze as far as all the potential additional expense, but same could be said for electronics, French horns, sousaphones, trombones, giant props, etc etc... yet they are now requisite.
  10. One thing I hope that gets discussed when they consider judging and adding A/I is the potential this will further the gap between the corps at the top with funds to provide professional-level, highly engineered electronic support. I see woodwinds and electronics going hand-in-hand, as woodwinds would be at the mercy of amps and audio processing to be heard in the context of DCI. Corps with deep pockets and super fancy audio rigs will have a HUGE competitive advantage over those corps just trying to scrape enough funds to get down the road. The disparity is already huge. Look at the A/E productions of the bottom of the World Class vs. the top. The bottom tier have basically garage band setups and the top have fully professional, Broadway-style A/E rigs. Definitely NOT apples to apples and I find it silly that they are even judged against one another in a competitive manner. If the A/I rules passes, I envision the top corps using woodwinds will mic every one of them, and run them through a gamut of sweetening studio effects, as is already done for most brass soloists (reverb/delay/chorusing/compression/etc). Those corps with the financial means to provide professional-level live sounds rigs will have a gigantic advantage over all the others- they already do since there seems to really be no limit when it comes to A/E and the use of professional audio engineering, effects, etc. Woodwinds widens the gap and competitive advantage even more. DCI can steer the activity in any direction it chooses simply by giving credit on the judging sheets and awarding corps doing whatever new thing it wants them to do. Seems if they choose to give scoring preference to woodwind use (which they surely will, if rules change) then the "haves" of the activity will just have an even bigger advantage then they already do. Corps already seem to have so many added expenses for the "extra" stuff now (giant props, a separate line of trombones for the requisite trombone feature and solo, A/E rigs, etc... since BD was successful with strings and a sousaphone we better figure those will now become requisite, too, etc etc). The more extra stuff is added, the sillier it seems to judge it and make this a "competition."
  11. I have not heard ANY positive comments from anyone on the inclusion of woodwinds, including from the many young DCI-age kids I know. Even all the woodwind players I know who aspire to one day march DCI don't like the idea of ww. The only positive comments I have heard are from the few folks here on DCP who favor marching band. But... Was this not the same for electronics? Same for trombones/french horn/etc? Was there an outcry from marching members to add this stuff? Outcry from audience that we must include this extra stuff? No. If kids seemed to want this, or audiences were excited for the changes, I'd understand. But, nobody seems for this- like most the changes that have made it marching band and taken the "drum & bugle" out of it.
  12. Your story of the alto sax player is my story- exactly. But I didn't feel discriminated against, left out, or slighted at all. Drum and bugle corps were drums and brass, and I didn't play brass, I played sax. Just as there are string quartets, chamber orchestras, big bands, and bagpipe ensembles, drum and bugle corps were a unique ensemble with brass-only instrumentation. That is what it was and I never considered saxophone to belong to that ensemble just as I don't consider the electric guitar to belong in a chamber orchestra. I wanted to be in DCI BECAUSE there were no woodwinds. To me, the brass and percussion created such a powerful, unique, and cool ensemble both audibly and visually. It was NOT band it was something way cooler, IMO, 100% because of the unique nature of being all brass and percussion. So, I did what multitudes of other woodwind players did and currently do, I picked up a brass instrument and got to work, eventually making it into a world class corps. Both my kids are young woodwind players (oboe/saxophone) who would like to march DCI in the future. Both HATE the idea of woodwinds in DCI. They like the sound and look of brass and drums. Drum & Bugle = percussion and brass... Why is this so hard to understand and accept? What if the fictitious sax player in the quoted post joined a woodwind ensemble that didn't feature brass? Does his brass playing buddies cry foul and we destroy the woodwind ensemble because it doesn't allow brass? Long live the power and purity of all-brass while we have it, looks like the days are numbered.
  13. I am sad to see them go coed simply for the loss of the brotherhood and their all-male identity was unique and cool. That said, we all know males and females can both be equally great at drum corps. I predict they will likely improve over last year. I would imagine there are some very talented females who would like to be trailblazers in the first truly coed Scouts. It'd be interesting to see a breakdown of auditions in terms of how many girls attended. I'll forever miss the Mighty Men but would rather cheer on a coed Scouts than none at all. Hope it works out for them.
  14. Darn, I was going for BOTH histrionic AND sarcastic! At least give me credit at attempting both! ...Okay now maybe that was a little overly sarcastic... As long as Scouts go back to blowing down the stands then I'm sound as a pound. I truly hope it is all super awesome as DCI is reporting. Seems a little simplistic to me given the huge controversial changes but I truly hope the best for them.
  15. On second thought, you're right. The DCI reports do state that everyone just absolutely loves the new improved Scouts. All couldn't be more hunky dory apparently. The Scouts are 100% better off thanks to these awesome changes and there is no alternate point of view to these giant changes.
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