DrumCorpsRadio Posted July 29, 2019 Author Share Posted July 29, 2019 July 28 Run-Down Just one show tonight but it was an important one with the Top 9 and 12/13 all in competition and what a show it was in terms of analysis. Blue Devils topped Bluecoats for the second time this season with a margin of victory of 0.075. The Cavaliers not only moved up from 6th to 5th over Boston Crusaders but also closed the gap to Carolina Crown considerably. A commentary piece coming into the show was the fact that Boston Crusaders was before intermission. I don't know if that worked in The Cavaliers favor, but it is pretty clear it did not help Carolina Crown to go on last tonight. At the top, it should also be pointed out that while the blue corps battle it out, Santa Clara Vanguard lost ground. The Cadets also caught up quite a bit to Blue Stars. Quite a lot of point movement the day after DCI Southeastern Championship. With three nights in a row with most of these corps, let's take a look at a three-day trendline... Net score increase from Fri-Sun Blue Devils - 0.650 (+.138, +.512) Bluecoats - 0.650 (+.338, +.312) Santa Clara Vanguard - 0.825 (+.675, +.150) Carolina Crown - 1.500 (+1.513, -.130) The Cavaliers - 1.900 (+1.113, +.787) Boston Crusaders - 0.300 (+.700, -.400) Blue Knights - 0.375* (different show on Friday) (-.275, +.650) Blue Stars - 0.100 (+.163, -.063) The Cadets - 0.600 (-.100, +.700) 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DrumCorpsRadio Posted July 30, 2019 Author Share Posted July 30, 2019 July 29 Run-Down There were a few changes in placement in Open Class based on head-to-head competition results. River City Rhythm moved ahead of Louisiana Stars and Heat Wave moved ahead of Raiders. In World Class, Blue Devils expanded its lead a bit over Bluecoats and has now won three of the last four head-to-head meetings. The corps meet one more time prior to Indianapolis on Saturday night of Allentown. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DrumCorpsRadio Posted July 31, 2019 Author Share Posted July 31, 2019 July 31 Run-Down The scores went up much more in one show compared to the other show so it is unlikely that changes in placement will hold once everyone comes back together. No head-to-head placement changes. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DrumCorpsRadio Posted August 1, 2019 Author Share Posted August 1, 2019 July 31 Run-Down I was live at the Chester, PA show, normally my favorite venue for watching performances. Unfortunately the decision to move Boston Crusaders, Santa Clara Vanguard, and The Cadets to standstill performance due to "weather" and "natural turf condition" really changed the experience for the negative. Shame. In the Open Class show, scores increased more than usual for a day-to-day to show. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OldSnareDrummer Posted August 1, 2019 Share Posted August 1, 2019 Wow, Madison and Troopers are looking at Spartans in their rear view mirror. Gold has them both within a hair, too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DrumCorpsRadio Posted August 2, 2019 Author Share Posted August 2, 2019 August 1 Run-Down While there were no head-to-head placement changes, there are some interesting changes in spreads. Notably, Boston Crusaders gap with Carolina Crown and Jersey Surf with Music City. Most attention will be on Allentown tonight as the Top 3 line up on night one of the DCI Eastern Championship. Also keep a look at the Open Class show in Iowa as Spartans and Gold compete head-to-head for the first time with potential Open Class champion implications. Golden Empire may be poised for a big jump after not competing since July 20. Last year that gap led to a 7 spot improvement. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DrumCorpsRadio Posted August 3, 2019 Author Share Posted August 3, 2019 August 2 Run-Down It looks like we are going to have a real battle for the gold medal this year with Bluecoats back on top of Blue Devils. While the margin remains thin between these two corps, Santa Clara Vanguard fell back and is now more than a point away from the two blue corps. Unless something dramatic happens over the next few days, it appears there is now a clear two-corps competition at the top. Further down Blue Stars are keeping pace with Blue Knights. Genesis made a big jump up towards Troopers and away from Music City. In Open Class, Spartans won a decisive victory over Gold and is the clear favorite for the title with Gold and Legends likely battling it out for the other medalist spots. There is quite a bit of movement within the rest of the Open Class ranks as the various tours come together heading into finals week. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DrumCorpsRadio Posted August 4, 2019 Author Share Posted August 4, 2019 August 3 Run-Down I will do an Allentown regional analysis later tonight. This is the regular daily run-down. The Cavaliers confirmed its 5th place standing ahead of Boston Crusaders and drew within one point of Carolina Crown. Based on night-to-night scores, this suggests the possibility of a 3-5 grouping instead of a 4-6 grouping for the first time this season. The Cadets held off the Mandarins with a slightly larger margin than in Atlanta and Crossmen gained on Mandarins ever so slightly while expanding its lead over Phantom Regiment. Spirit of Atlanta is essentially the same distance out of finals as it was a week ago and it would take some considerable shifts to make up 1.300 over the next week. In Open Class, we continue to see large point fluctuations and placement changes night to night outside the Top 3. This should make for an exciting Monday and Tuesday of finals week as the corps battle it out without Blue Devils B and Vanguard Cadets. Some of the fight will play out on Thursday as several Open Class corps compete for the final few spots for Friday's show. Seattle Cascades looks to be the only World Class corps not to move on from Thursday to Friday based on current standings. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DrumCorpsRadio Posted August 4, 2019 Author Share Posted August 4, 2019 Allentown Analysis Note that in 2018, the DCI Eastern Classic Day 1 was rain shortened and corps in the Top 15 did not participate. Asteriks in the graphic at the bottom indicate corps that did not have scores in Allentown in 2018. Most recent pre-Allentown score utilized for this analysis. Note that in 2017, the DCI Southeastern Championship did not include all World Class corps. Asterisks in the graphic at the bottom indicate corps that did not have scores on this Saturday night in 2017. The Medalists Remarkably, the Bluecoats keep finding ways to win the big shows as they have now swept the 2019 regionals while losing several times to the Blue Devils between these big shows. For the first time this season, Carolina Crown is in this group with a scant 0.050 point lead over Santa Clara Vanguard. While many will argue that Carolina Crown did not beat Santa Clara Vanguard head-to-head, the Allentown shows are considered one show by Drum Corps International and so I think there is now a fight for the bronze medal spot. In the past week, Santa Clara Vanguard fell from being 0.513 points out of first to 1.587. This changes the argument I made last week that there was a three-way race for the championship. It now appears to be down to just two. This is the closest 1-2 margin after Allentown in the past three years (0.225 in 2019 compared to 1.025 in 2018 and 0.513 in 2017). The bronze medal fight is also extremely tight (0.050 in 2019 compared to 0.212 in 2018 and 1.063 in 2017). The Top 6 All three spots in the 4-6 range are different this week after holding steady at mid-season, San Antonio, and Atlanta. Santa Clara Vanguard dropped to the #4 spot while The Cavaliers passed Boston Crusaders for #5. This year's sixth place corps (Boston Crusaders) is closer to first place (3.200 points) than either of the past two seasons (3.475 in 2018 and 4.325 in 2017). Based on spreads, it seems that Carolina Crown and Santa Clara Vanguard will battle it out for the 3-4 spots while The Cavaliers and Boston Crusaders fight over 5th. The Top 12 There were no changes in the bottom half of the Top 12 from Atlanta to Allentown (or San Antonio to Atlanta for that matter). The spreads are very tight with margins ranging from 0.075 points to 0.750 points, perhaps leaving some room for what has been a very consistent order of placement to jump around in the final week. Given previous ups and downs throughout the season in this grouping, this is certainly a possibility. Spirit of Atlanta did not gain much ground towards a finalist spot finishing 1.300 points out of 12th after being 1.325 points back a week ago. This is the furthest back from the Top 12 for the 13th place corps in the past three years (1.300 in 2008 compared to 0.562 in 2018 and 0.075 in 2017). Largest Changes from 2018 +8 - Jersey Surf (30th to 22nd) +7 - Southwind (34th to 27th) and Spartans (32nd to 25th) -7 - Vanguard Cadets (18th to 25th) +6 - Legends (32nd to 26th) +5 - Heat Wave (42nd to 37th) and Pacific Crest (20th to 15th) -5 - Music City (21st to 26th) and Seattle Cascades (27th to 32nd) The Battles Here are the tightest spreads in the 2019 Top 15 as of Allentown: 0.050 points - #3 Carolina Crown over #4 Santa Clara Vanguard -- Vanguard has not lost head-to-head to Crown this season. 0.075 points - #7 Blue Knights over #8 Blue Stars -- This has been in the top battles all season long. 0.150 points - #8 Blue Stars over #9 The Cadets -- The Cadets have been fighting back with this group. 0.225 points - #1 Bluecoats over #2 Blue Devils -- This is clearly where the attention will be in Indy. 0.288 points - #14 Colts over #15 Pacific Crest -- Pacific Crest wasn't even in the Top 15 before Allentown and is now threatening to go higher. Here are the tightest spreads in the 2019 Top 15 as of Atlanta: 0.000 points - #14 The Academy & #14 Colts -- Tied after trading the #14 spot mid-season vs. San Antonio 0.062 points - #5 Boston Crusaders over #6 The Cavaliers -- This wasn't even one of the top 5 closest races in San Antonio. 0.125 points - #1 Bluecoats over #2 Blue Devils -- Most attention is here especially after the Murfreesboro flip. 0.262 points - #7 Blue Knights over #8 Blue Stars -- Blue Stars have been consistent in their fight for this spot. 0.388 points - #2 Blue Devils over #3 Santa Clara Vanguard -- Still hanging out for an all-out race to Indy. Here are the tightest spreads in the 2019 Top 15 as of San Antonio: 0.200 points - #1 Bluecoats over #2 Blue Devils -- How exciting to have the closest spread at the top! 0.300 points - #10 Mandarins over #11 Crossmen -- The corps have traded wins so this makes sense. 0.325 points - #7 Blue Knights over #8 Blue Stars -- Bad news for The Cadets to see these two corps battling it out for 7th place. 0.350 points - #4 Carolina Crown over #5 Boston Crusaders -- These corps have also had some back and forth throughout the season. 0.538 points - #2 Blue Devils over #3 Santa Clara Vanguard -- Would generate a lot of excitement to see this stay tight. No 2018 Top 15 Allentown analysis in this area due to rainouts wreaking havoc on statistics. Here were the tightest spreads in the 2018 Top 15 and what happened as of Atlanta: 0.050 points - #5 The Cavaliers over #6 Boston Crusaders -- Boston moved into #5 by finals. 0.100 points - #10 Phantom Regiment over #11 Mandarins -- Mandarins moved into #10 by finals. 0.200 points - #1 Santa Clara Vanguard over #2 Blue Devils -- Santa Clara Vanguard held on for the win. 0.325 points - #8 Blue Stars over #9 Blue Knights -- Blue Stars held on to #8. 0.475 points - #2 Blue Devils over #3 Bluecoats -- Blue Devils held on to #2. Here were the tightest spreads in the 2018 Top 15 and what happened as of San Antonio: 0.163 points - #5 The Cavaliers over #6 Boston Crusaders -- Boston moved into #5 by finals. 0.187 points - #8 Blue Knights over #9 Blue Stars -- Blue Stars moved into #8 by finals. 0.288 points - #9 Blue Stars over #10 Phantom Regiment -- Blue Stars moved up and Phantom Regiment moved down. 0.300 points - #2 Blue Devils over #3 Bluecoats -- Held. 0.363 points - #14 Spirit of Atlanta over #15 Colts -- Both corps moved up over #13 The Academy. And for 2017 San Antonio: 0.200 points - #10 Crossmen over #11 Blue Stars -- Blue Stars moved into #10 by finals. 0.300 points - #12 Mandarins over #13 Madison Scouts -- Madison Scouts moved into #12 by finals. 0.450 points - #2 Santa Clara Vanguard over #3 Carolina Crown -- Held. 0.475 points - #1 Blue Devils over #2 Santa Clara Vanguard -- Held. 0.600 points - #6 Boston Crusaders over #7 The Cadets -- Held. None of this in 2017 Atlanta due to some corps not participating. And for 2017 Allentown: 0.075 points - #13 Mandarins over #14 The Academy -- Held. 0.350 points - #6 Boston Crusaders over #7 The Cadets -- Held. 0.350 points - #10 Blue Stars over #11 Crossmen -- Held. 0.500 points - #9 Phantom Regiment over #10 Blue Stars -- Held. 0.513 points - #1 Blue Devils over #2 Santa Clara Vanguard -- Held. 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
George Dixon Posted August 5, 2019 Share Posted August 5, 2019 thanks for all the time put into this - very interesting 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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