hostrauser Posted July 4, 2022 Share Posted July 4, 2022 Just when you thought it was SAFE to go back into drum corps... *cues Jaws theme* ...Hostrauser is here to show you that everything I know about drum corps is wrong! > Wait > Phil, that's supposed to read "everything YOU know about drum corps is wrong!" You were supposed to edit this! What do I even pay you for? > What? > Oh. Right. I don't pay you. Wait. Then what are you doing in my house? Only a fool would try to make predictions based on the first few shows of the season. But I am that fool! I expect the spans will tighten up in the next few weeks, but (unsurprisingly) the Blue Devils have come out hot and look to be the corps to beat. I think it's safe to pencil them in for a 27th consecutive medal. 98.317 Blue Devils 96.434 Carolina Crown 96.243 Santa Clara Vanguard 95.988 Bluecoats 94.339 Boston Crusaders 91.561 Cavaliers 89.443 Cadets 89.167 Mandarins 88.466 Blue Stars 88.052 Phantom Regiment 85.801 Blue Knights 82.586 Crossmen 81.684 Colts 81.371 Academy 80.833 Madison Scouts 77.863 Music City 76.465 Pacific Crest 74.540 Spartans 73.534 Gold 72.631 Jersey Surf 61.536 Golden Empire 60.563 River City Rhythm 59.951 Colt Cadets 59.405 7th Regiment 50.421 Impulse 5 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ThatGuy2900 Posted July 4, 2022 Share Posted July 4, 2022 20 minutes ago, hostrauser said: Just when you thought it was SAFE to go back into drum corps... *cues Jaws theme* ...Hostrauser is here to show you that everything I know about drum corps is wrong! > Wait > Phil, that's supposed to read "everything YOU know about drum corps is wrong!" You were supposed to edit this! What do I even pay you for? > What? > Oh. Right. I don't pay you. Wait. Then what are you doing in my house? Only a fool would try to make predictions based on the first few shows of the season. But I am that fool! I expect the spans will tighten up in the next few weeks, but (unsurprisingly) the Blue Devils have come out hot and look to be the corps to beat. I think it's safe to pencil them in for a 27th consecutive medal. 98.317 Blue Devils 96.434 Carolina Crown 96.243 Santa Clara Vanguard 95.988 Bluecoats 94.339 Boston Crusaders 91.561 Cavaliers 89.443 Cadets 89.167 Mandarins 88.466 Blue Stars 88.052 Phantom Regiment 85.801 Blue Knights 82.586 Crossmen 81.684 Colts 81.371 Academy 80.833 Madison Scouts 77.863 Music City 76.465 Pacific Crest 74.540 Spartans 73.534 Gold 72.631 Jersey Surf 61.536 Golden Empire 60.563 River City Rhythm 59.951 Colt Cadets 59.405 7th Regiment 50.421 Impulse Yay!!!! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chief Guns Posted July 4, 2022 Share Posted July 4, 2022 59 minutes ago, hostrauser said: I think it's safe to pencil them in for a 27th consecutive medal. This BD Honk has to keep it real. The 2005 Yowza Movement was 4th place. So BD has medaled 25 of the last 26 DCI competitive seasons dating back to 1994. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Barneveld Posted July 4, 2022 Share Posted July 4, 2022 I don't have any problem with your predictions. Just curious how you came up with them. Was it a formula, hunch, personal preference? Thanks for posting this! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MidWAmericanArts Posted July 5, 2022 Share Posted July 5, 2022 1 hour ago, hostrauser said: Just when you thought it was SAFE to go back into drum corps... *cues Jaws theme* ...Hostrauser is here to show you that everything I know about drum corps is wrong! > Wait > Phil, that's supposed to read "everything YOU know about drum corps is wrong!" You were supposed to edit this! What do I even pay you for? > What? > Oh. Right. I don't pay you. Wait. Then what are you doing in my house? Only a fool would try to make predictions based on the first few shows of the season. But I am that fool! I expect the spans will tighten up in the next few weeks, but (unsurprisingly) the Blue Devils have come out hot and look to be the corps to beat. I think it's safe to pencil them in for a 27th consecutive medal. 98.317 Blue Devils 96.434 Carolina Crown 96.243 Santa Clara Vanguard 95.988 Bluecoats 94.339 Boston Crusaders 91.561 Cavaliers 89.443 Cadets 89.167 Mandarins 88.466 Blue Stars 88.052 Phantom Regiment 85.801 Blue Knights 82.586 Crossmen 81.684 Colts 81.371 Academy 80.833 Madison Scouts 77.863 Music City 76.465 Pacific Crest 74.540 Spartans 73.534 Gold 72.631 Jersey Surf 61.536 Golden Empire 60.563 River City Rhythm 59.951 Colt Cadets 59.405 7th Regiment 50.421 Impulse Seriously, your formula is my favorite part of DCP. Thanks for doing this! Rankwise, I'd have Bloo at #2, Phantom to #8, Mandarins to #10. Corpsmen are most likely #12, but Colts and Academy are truly making it interesting! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phantombari1 Posted July 5, 2022 Share Posted July 5, 2022 Hostrauser, shame on you for putting BAC at 5th...Their warm up alone has them in 3rd. JK you know who! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hostrauser Posted July 5, 2022 Author Share Posted July 5, 2022 1 hour ago, Chief Guns said: This BD Honk has to keep it real. The 2005 Yowza Movement was 4th place. So BD has medaled 25 of the last 26 DCI competitive seasons dating back to 1994. I had literally purged that show from my memory. You know, that awful, terrible show that still scored 95.250. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hostrauser Posted July 5, 2022 Author Share Posted July 5, 2022 1 hour ago, Barneveld said: I don't have any problem with your predictions. Just curious how you came up with them. Was it a formula, hunch, personal preference? Thanks for posting this! Formula. It's based solely on the scores issued so far and the judges who issued them. Despite the "ranking" being a finals-week extrapolation, it is not technically a prediction of the future. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BlueStainGlass Posted July 5, 2022 Share Posted July 5, 2022 Something something competitive inertia 1 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Super Don-O Posted July 5, 2022 Share Posted July 5, 2022 Hostrauser is the Nate Silver of DCI. If history is a guide, by mid season his rankings are going to be a very close mirror of Finals. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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