hostrauser Posted July 6, 2022 Author Share Posted July 6, 2022 21 hours ago, Super Don-O said: Hostrauser is the Nate Silver of DCI. I'm still trying to figure out if that's a compliment or an insult. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Drumcorpdad62 Posted July 6, 2022 Share Posted July 6, 2022 I did something similar, but yours are WAY more accurate as you take into account the fluctuation in judges scoring. I just took average first score over the past 18 years and took average of last 7 years spread between first score and high score. Then I took first score of 2022 and added the average 7 year spread. avg clean Starting Prediction Carolina Crown 26.36 73.45 99.81 Blue Devils 26.61 72.1 98.71 Blue Coats 26.27 71.7 97.97 Santa Clara 26.11 69.95 96.06 Boston 25.13 69.45 94.58 The Cadets 25.11 69.15 94.26 The Cavaliers 25.74 67.6 93.34 Blue Knights 25.14 66.7 91.84 Blue Stars 26.12 65.15 91.27 Phantom Regiment 24.54 65.75 90.29 Mandarins 23.72 65.3 89.02 Crossmen 24.45 63.35 87.8 Madison Scouts 22.31 64.5 86.81 Colts 23.3 62.35 85.65 The Academy 21 61.45 82.45 Troopers 21.11 60 81.11 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DFA1970 Posted July 6, 2022 Share Posted July 6, 2022 10 minutes ago, Drumcorpdad62 said: I did something similar, but yours are WAY more accurate as you take into account the fluctuation in judges scoring. I just took average first score over the past 18 years and took average of last 7 years spread between first score and high score. Then I took first score of 2022 and added the average 7 year spread. avg clean Starting Prediction Carolina Crown 26.36 73.45 99.81 Blue Devils 26.61 72.1 98.71 Blue Coats 26.27 71.7 97.97 Santa Clara 26.11 69.95 96.06 Boston 25.13 69.45 94.58 The Cadets 25.11 69.15 94.26 The Cavaliers 25.74 67.6 93.34 Blue Knights 25.14 66.7 91.84 Blue Stars 26.12 65.15 91.27 Phantom Regiment 24.54 65.75 90.29 Mandarins 23.72 65.3 89.02 Crossmen 24.45 63.35 87.8 Madison Scouts 22.31 64.5 86.81 Colts 23.3 62.35 85.65 The Academy 21 61.45 82.45 Troopers 21.11 60 81.11 Fantasy drumcorp. It's cute. 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kkrepps Posted July 6, 2022 Share Posted July 6, 2022 The Blue Coats...brand new corps outa nowhere earning a WC medal first time in DCI competition! 😉 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JimF-LowBari Posted July 6, 2022 Share Posted July 6, 2022 Welcome back Zoidberg… 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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