Cappybara Posted June 8, 2015 Share Posted June 8, 2015 (edited) I thought it would be interesting to see how DCP members' predictions shifted over time. If a person made more than one prediction since this thread began, only the most recent as of the cut-off date was used. The number shown is the average placement predicted. Aug. 9-Aug. 31: 1.6 Blue Devils 2.9 Cadets 3.2 Bluecoats 4.0 Santa Clara Vanguard 4.4 Carolina Crown 5.4 Cavaliers 7.5 Phantom Regiment 7.8 Blue Knights 9.1 Blue Stars 9.8 Boston Crusaders 11.0 Madison Scouts 12.0 Crossmen After a flurry of August predictions, there were just a handful each month through December, so the next two sets are bi-monthly. Aug. 9-Oct. 31: 1.6 Blue Devils 3.0 Cadets 3.2 Bluecoats 3.9 Santa Clara Vanguard 4.3 Carolina Crown 5.5 Cavaliers 7.9 Blue Knights 7.9 Phantom Regiment 9.3 Blue Stars 9.6 Boston Crusaders 11.0 Madison Scouts 12.0 Crossmen Aug. 9-Dec. 31: 1.6 Blue Devils 3.2 Bluecoats 3.2 Cadets 3.9 Santa Clara Vanguard 4.2 Carolina Crown 5.6 Cavalier 7.8 Phantom Regiment 7.9 Blue Knights 9.3 Blue Stars 9.6 Boston Crusaders 10.0 Madison Scouts 12.0 Crossmen There were no predictions in January. Aug. 9-Feb. 28: 1.8 Blue Devils 3.0 Cadets 3.3 Bluecoats 4.1 Carolina Crown 4.1 Santa Clara Vanguard 5.4 Cavaliers 7.8 Blue Knights 7.8 Phantom Regiment 9.5 Blue Stars 9.5 Boston Crusaders 11.0 Madison Scouts 12.0 Crossmen There were only two predictions made in March. Aug. 9-Apr. 30: 1.8 Blue Devils 2.8 Cadets 3.8 Bluecoats 3.8 Carolina Crown 4.1 Santa Clara Vanguard 5.3 Cavaliers 7.8 Phantom Regiment 8.0 Blue Knights 9.4 Boston Crusaders 9.5 Blue Stars 10.0 Madison Scouts 12.0 Crossmen Aug. 9-May 31: 1.8 Blue Devils 2.7 Cadets 3.7 Carolina Crown 3.8 Bluecoats 4.2 Santa Clara Vanguard 5.4 Cavaliers 7.7 Phantom Regiment 8.0 Blue Knights 9.4 Boston Crusaders 9.7 Blue Stars 10.0 Madison Scouts 12.0 Crossmen That's right: so far, DCP members, on average, are predicting the same corps in the top twelve as last year. I'll update this again just before the season starts. Thanks for putting that together!! It might have been more helpful to take people's rankings from separate times in the offseason. Rather than using a cumulative type of measurement (august to november, august to january, etc), it would probably be more telling to look at it as "august to november", "december to february", "march to june", etc. Using that method isn't as effective when you aren't keeping the people who are "voting" consistent for each period, but it may show the trends a little better with just a bit more error. Edited June 8, 2015 by Cappybara Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KVG_DC Posted June 8, 2015 Share Posted June 8, 2015 I predict that someone will have to finish in first place. It could be two someones.... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N.E. Brigand Posted June 8, 2015 Share Posted June 8, 2015 It might have been more helpful to take people's rankings from separate times in the off-season. That would be easy enough. I'll try to post that variation later this evening. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HornTeacher Posted June 8, 2015 Share Posted June 8, 2015 It could be two someones.... Heaven help us when a three-way tie comes along... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wesleyrp Posted June 8, 2015 Share Posted June 8, 2015 I predict a 4 way tie......... For no one Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KVG_DC Posted June 8, 2015 Share Posted June 8, 2015 In fourth place.... IN TIE FOR FIRST PLACE... :horrors: Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KVG_DC Posted June 8, 2015 Share Posted June 8, 2015 INT might win in a year like that Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HornTeacher Posted June 8, 2015 Share Posted June 8, 2015 INT might win in a year like that I'd love to hear the score by which INT earned the distinction. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KVG_DC Posted June 8, 2015 Share Posted June 8, 2015 99.60! (Blue Devils still safe) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
N.E. Brigand Posted June 8, 2015 Share Posted June 8, 2015 It's not possible in drum corps, but in other adjudicated arts, there have certainly been occasions when the judges have opted for "no winner". Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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