Jump to content

2023 Season Predictions


Recommended Posts

8 minutes ago, BlueStainGlass said:

For the love of stats can you do a 3yr and 5yr to go with the 10yr?

Agreed. Very interested to see the average finals placements over the last five DCI seasons 2016-2019/2022.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

2 hours ago, Chief Guns said:

Agreed. Very interested to see the average finals placements over the last five DCI seasons 2016-2019/2022.

 

5 season results.

corps avg placement appearances
Blue Devils 1.40 5
Bluecoats 2.70 5
Vanguard 3.00 5
Carolina Crown 3.60 5
Cavaliers 5.80 5
Boston Crusaders 6.30 5
Cadets 7.00 5
Blue Knights 7.75 4
Blue Stars 8.40 5
Phantom Regiment 9.60 5
Mandarins 10.00 3
Academy 11.00 1
Colts 11.00 1
Crossmen 11.00 4
Madison Scouts 12.00 1
Troopers 12.00 1

 

Just an aside -- this is a simple google sheet with one sheet containing a "database" like this

corps year place
Cavaliers 2006 1
Phantom Regiment 2006 2
Blue Devils 2006 3

 

and the resulting table is a pivot table on the average of the place field and count of the place field.  Ties are averaged so a tie for 2 corps in 5th place will give both corps a place of "5.5" instead of arbitrarily breaking the tie with GE or something.  This keeps your average placement accurate relative to the rest of the data.

Edited by karuna
  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

41 minutes ago, karuna said:

 

5 season results.

corps avg placement appearances
Blue Devils 1.40 5
Bluecoats 2.70 5
Vanguard 3.00 5
Carolina Crown 3.60 5
Cavaliers 5.80 5
Boston Crusaders 6.30 5
Cadets 7.00 5
Blue Knights 7.75 4
Blue Stars 8.40 5
Phantom Regiment 9.60 5
Mandarins 10.00 3
Academy 11.00 1
Colts 11.00 1
Crossmen 11.00 4
Madison Scouts 12.00 1
Troopers 12.00 1

 

Just an aside -- this is a simple google sheet with one sheet containing a "database" like this

corps year place
Cavaliers 2006 1
Phantom Regiment 2006 2
Blue Devils 2006 3

 

and the resulting table is a pivot table on the average of the place field and count of the place field.  Ties are averaged so a tie for 2 corps in 5th place will give both corps a place of "5.5" instead of arbitrarily breaking the tie with GE or something.  This keeps your average placement accurate relative to the rest of the data.

That is crazy seeing #3 next to BD in 2006. Looks like it should be a misprint lol.

Last time BD was 3rd, Gas was $2.33 per gallon, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest was the #1 box office movie, and Bad Day from Daniel Powter was the #1 song. 

BDs dominance is next level. My goodness.

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

38 minutes ago, Chief Guns said:

That is crazy seeing #3 next to BD in 2006. Looks like it should be a misprint lol.

Last time BD was 3rd, Gas was $2.33 per gallon, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest was the #1 box office movie, and Bad Day from Daniel Powter was the #1 song. 

BDs dominance is next level. My goodness.

Next level doesn't describe it.   

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

8 hours ago, Chief Guns said:

That is crazy seeing #3 next to BD in 2006. Looks like it should be a misprint lol.

Last time BD was 3rd, Gas was $2.33 per gallon, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest was the #1 box office movie, and Bad Day from Daniel Powter was the #1 song. 

BDs dominance is next level. My goodness.

Next level doesn't doesn't even BEGIN to describe it.

I'm almost 25 years old. The last time BD placed outside the top 2, I was 8 years old and just starting 3rd grade. I didn't know what drum corps was and I hadn't even joined band yet. In my firsthand experience as a drum corps fan, I've never known a time that BD wasn't in the top 2. Truly remarkable.

Anyway here's a top 6 prediction:

1. Blue Devils

2. Boston Crusaders

3. Carolina Crown

4. Bluecoats

5. Blue Stars

6. Phantom Regiment

  • Like 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites

11 hours ago, karuna said:

 

5 season results.

corps avg placement appearances
Blue Devils 1.40 5
Bluecoats 2.70 5
Vanguard 3.00 5
Carolina Crown 3.60 5
Cavaliers 5.80 5
Boston Crusaders 6.30 5
Cadets 7.00 5
Blue Knights 7.75 4
Blue Stars 8.40 5
Phantom Regiment 9.60 5
Mandarins 10.00 3
Academy 11.00 1
Colts 11.00 1
Crossmen 11.00 4
Madison Scouts 12.00 1
Troopers 12.00 1

 

Just an aside -- this is a simple google sheet with one sheet containing a "database" like this

corps year place
Cavaliers 2006 1
Phantom Regiment 2006 2
Blue Devils 2006 3

 

and the resulting table is a pivot table on the average of the place field and count of the place field.  Ties are averaged so a tie for 2 corps in 5th place will give both corps a place of "5.5" instead of arbitrarily breaking the tie with GE or something.  This keeps your average placement accurate relative to the rest of the data.

 No Spirit of Atlanta in your Top 16 of the 22 World Class Division Corps ?

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.
×
×
  • Create New...